The price of one bitcoin on MtGox goes above $500 at some point before end of November 2013.

Created by tedks on 2013-11-15; known on 2013-12-01; judged right by tedks on 2013-11-17.

• tedks estimated 60% on 2013-11-15
• gwern estimated 65% and said “just $40 away” on 2013-11-16
• mortehu estimated 50% on 2013-11-16
• tedks   judged this prediction right on 2013-11-17.