Barack Obama to attempt to run for a third term as President (either through Constitutional amendment or other method).

Created by JoshuaZ on 2013-11-24; known on 2016-12-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2016-11-09.

• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2013-11-24
• JoshuaZ said “http://www.reddit.com/r/politics/comments/1rb5cg/if_youre_a_democrat_looking_at_the_2016/cdlec3b” on 2013-11-24
• adbge estimated 0% on 2013-11-24
• gwern estimated 1% on 2013-11-24
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2013-11-24
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2013-11-24
• najdorf estimated 1% and said “he probably can’t wait to get the hell out and onto the speakers circuit/gravy train.” on 2013-11-25
• ygert estimated 0% on 2013-11-25
• procran estimated 0% on 2013-11-25
• Reflektor estimated 0% on 2013-11-26
• HonoreDB estimated 0% on 2013-11-26
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “In agreement with najdorf.” on 2013-11-26
• tylercurtis estimated 2% on 2013-11-27
• atroche estimated 0% on 2013-11-29
• Nic_Smith estimated 1% on 2013-12-01
• Jach estimated 0% on 2013-12-02
• alecbrooks estimated 1% on 2013-12-02
• tedks estimated 0% on 2013-12-06
• Lagren estimated 0% on 2013-12-14
• Michael Dickens estimated 2% on 2013-12-19
• deanmullen2014 estimated 0% on 2013-12-31
• clemux estimated 1% on 2014-01-20
• Nithi estimated 1% on 2014-01-23
• mad estimated 0% and said “Why would he want to have a third term? Any other democrat will basically be the same.” on 2014-01-29
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2014-02-16
• Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2014-05-16
• aarongertler estimated 0% on 2014-05-17
• rebellionkid estimated 1% on 2014-06-19
• RandomThinker estimated 1% on 2014-07-09
• anonym estimated 1% on 2014-09-30
• holycow81 estimated 0% on 2014-12-10
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2015-06-26
• unexpectedEOF estimated 1% on 2015-08-15
• gorass estimated 0% on 2015-08-15
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2016-01-10
• mortehu estimated 1% on 2016-01-11
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% on 2016-01-11
• Temeraire estimated 0% on 2016-02-12
• equivrel estimated 0% on 2016-02-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 0% and said “I think he was being honest here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G6NfRMv-4OY ” on 2016-03-11
• leo_gri estimated 0% on 2016-03-21
• two2thehead estimated 0% on 2016-04-20
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-11-09.