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Bitcoin price on 2014-01-01: < 50$ (mtgox prices)

Created by ArisKatsaris on 2013-11-24; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by ArisKatsaris on 2013-12-31.

  • ArisKatsaris estimated 3% on 2013-11-24
  • ArisKatsaris changed the deadline from “on 2014-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Bitcoin price on 2014-01-01: < 50 euro” on 2013-11-24
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2013-11-24
  • lavalamp estimated 1% on 2013-11-26
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2013-11-28
  • gwern estimated 1% on 2013-12-04
  • gwern said “at this point, <$50 is essentially a bet on a big hack/crack of Bitcoin itself. too much interest in it to let it go back down to $50on 2013-12-04
  • Michael Dickens estimated 5% on 2013-12-19
  • ArisKatsaris   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-31.