Bitcoin price on 2014-01-01: < 50$ (mtgox prices)
Created by ArisKatsaris on 2013-11-24; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by ArisKatsaris on 2013-12-31.
- ArisKatsaris estimated 3% on 2013-11-24
- ArisKatsaris changed the deadline from “on 2014-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Bitcoin price on 2014-01-01: < 50 euro” on 2013-11-24
- PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2013-11-24
- lavalamp estimated 1% on 2013-11-26
- PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2013-11-28
- gwern estimated 1% on 2013-12-04
- gwern said “at this point, <$50 is essentially a bet on a big hack/crack of Bitcoin itself. too much interest in it to let it go back down to $50” on 2013-12-04
- Michael Dickens estimated 5% on 2013-12-19
- ArisKatsaris judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-31.