Miley Cyrus beats Edward Snowden in the TIME 2013 Person of the Year Internet poll.

Created by tedks on 2013-11-27; known on 2013-12-05; judged right by tedks on 2013-12-09.

• tedks estimated 70% on 2013-11-27
• tedks said “http://poy.time.com/2013/11/25/vote-now-who-should-be-times-person-of-the-year/” on 2013-11-27
• tedks said “Neither Edward Snowden nor Miley Cyrus need to win the poll to judge this prediction; Cyrus just has to beat Snowden.” on 2013-11-27
• RobertLumley said “Not sure how legit this is, but http://www.reddit.com/r/conspiracy/comments/1rj4dp/time_magazine_rigged_its_online_person_of_the/” on 2013-11-27
• tedks said “This particular prediction isn’t conditioned on any “legitimacy” of the results. I just predict Miley wins.” on 2013-11-29
• adbge estimated 80% on 2013-11-29
• RandomThinker estimated 45% and said “Unless it’s rigged, I doubt it.” on 2013-12-03
• RandomThinker said “Assange won the internet poll in 2010. If they didn’t rig it for Assange, they won’t do it for Snowden. http://newsfeed.time.com/2010/12/13/julian-assange-readers-choice-for-times-person-of-the-year-2010/” on 2013-12-03
• RandomThinker said “Assange beat Lady Gaga too, which was more popular then than Cyrus is now (I think).” on 2013-12-03
• gwern estimated 75% on 2013-12-04
• tedks estimated 95% and said “currently leading by a huge margin” on 2013-12-04
• tedks said “Beaten by a factor of 7: http://poy.time.com/2013/11/25/vote-now-who-should-be-times-person-of-the-year/slide/miley-cyrus/ http://poy.time.com/2013/11/25/vote-now-who-should-be-times-person-of-the-year/slide/edward-snowden/” on 2013-12-09
• tedks   judged this prediction right on 2013-12-09.