Chicago-area will not have a white (1 inch of snow or greater) Christmas.

Created by adbge on 2013-12-01; known on 2013-12-25; judged wrong by adbge on 2013-12-26.

• adbge estimated 55% on 2013-12-01
• gwern estimated 60% and said “what’s the usual % chance of a white Christmas in Chicago and what will be the prediction source/judgement/definition?” on 2013-12-04
• adbge said “standing snow + currently accumulating, judging wrong, also see: http://abclocal.go.com/wls/story?section=news” on 2013-12-26
• adbge   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-26.