Bitcoin goes below $600 in the next 30 days.

Created by tedks on 2013-12-01; known on 2013-12-31; judged right by lavalamp on 2013-12-19.

• tedks estimated 75% on 2013-12-01
• PseudonymousUser said “On which exchange?” on 2013-12-01
• gwern estimated 40% and said “I assume he means either mtgox or bitstamp” on 2013-12-04
• HonoreDB estimated 40% on 2013-12-12
• Lagren estimated 40% and said “I’ll agree with the crowd here and say it’s unlikely but definitely possible.” on 2013-12-14
• procran estimated 30% on 2013-12-15
• Michael Dickens estimated 95% on 2013-12-19
• lavalamp   judged this prediction right on 2013-12-19.
• lavalamp said “Happened on the 18th, both mt. gox and bitstamp.” on 2013-12-19