I will be accepted for a postdoc position by June 1

Created by JoshuaZ on 2013-12-03; known on 2014-06-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2014-06-01.

• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2013-12-03
• gwern estimated 50% on 2013-12-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% and said “Updating. ” on 2014-02-18
• JoshuaZ said “Most earlly ones have said no, and a few where I might have an obvious in also have not gotten back to me (which given the time suggests they are also nos). ” on 2014-02-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 25% and said “Updating.” on 2014-03-13
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2014-04-22
• nyabhingi estimated 1% on 2014-05-12
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-06-01.