Gaddafi will not be in power in Libya beyond 2011.

Created by maxdemian on 2011-03-07; known on 2012-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2011-10-21.

• maxdemian estimated 70% on 2011-03-07
• Konkvistador estimated 30% on 2011-07-21
• gwern said “mistah kurtz, he dead. a penny for the old guy” on 2011-10-21
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-10-21.