Extremist confusionists will not be able to prevent LHC collisions – even given they now have until our Autumn next year

Created by Glenn on 2008-09-24; known on 2009-11-09; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.

• Glenn estimated 85% on 2008-09-24
• Glenn changed the deadline from “on 2009-03-16” on 2009-03-16
• Glenn changed the deadline from “on 2009-09-16” on 2009-09-28
• Glenn said “not sure how I got autumn wrong” on 2009-09-28
• Arenamontanus estimated 90% on 2009-10-14
• Pavitra estimated 98% on 2009-10-23
• gwern said “Going to mark this right; the confusionists failed, but the machinery broke all on its own. As worded this says nothing about whether the LHC is broken.” on 2010-07-29
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2010-07-29.