PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

There are unique 50 wagers on this prediction by April 1st, 2014.

Created by lettergram on 2014-01-18; known on 2014-04-02; judged right by rickyrich98 on 2014-04-02.

  • lettergram estimated 75% on 2014-01-18
  • flyingfox estimated 40% and said “flyingfox” on 2014-01-18
  • Merinnan estimated 60% and said “Merinnan” on 2014-01-18
  • fela estimated 27% on 2014-01-18
  • KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 14% on 2014-01-19
  • atroche estimated 40% on 2014-01-19
  • Mares789 estimated 36% and said “Mares789” on 2014-01-19
  • PseudonymousUser said “Are there even 50 active users on PredictionBook?” on 2014-01-19
  • lettergram said “I don’t know, but I do know that there are already 7 wagers in 36 hours… not too bad.” on 2014-01-19
  • shadow1537 estimated 86% and said “Shadow 1537” on 2014-01-20
  • adbge estimated 26% on 2014-01-20
  • Ben Doherty estimated 20% on 2014-01-20
  • nadeshico_k estimated 30% on 2014-01-20
  • Snowshi estimated 87% and said “Snowshi” on 2014-01-20
  • reesarose estimated 75% and said “reesarose” on 2014-01-21
  • Vulture estimated 30% on 2014-01-21
  • Iksorod estimated 65% and said “Iksorod” on 2014-01-21
  • Vulture said “(Is there a reason why everyone’s adding a comment consisting of just their handle?)” on 2014-01-21
  • Jayson Virissimo said “Sock-puppets, I presume. ” on 2014-01-21
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 80% and said “AlexM087” on 2014-01-21
  • vanadium23 estimated 60% and said “It depends on users of habitrpg ;-)” on 2014-01-21
  • Bestmeatballs estimated 1% and said “Best damn spaghetti meatballs” on 2014-01-21
  • whackedspinach estimated 70% and said “Cole” on 2014-01-21
  • Vulture estimated 55% on 2014-01-21
  • holycow81 estimated 78% on 2014-01-21
  • Vulture estimated 90% on 2014-01-22
  • mitodoteira estimated 70% on 2014-01-22
  • ishopeatsea estimated 95% and said “i bet this will happen simply because nobody thinks it will – the internets a funny place like that” on 2014-01-22
  • lettergram said “@Vluture I added a reward on HabitRPG for people who made a predictionbook account and tried it out by predicting on this post, as well as others. Hence, my high wager.” on 2014-01-22
  • Bestmeatballs estimated 10% and said “Best damn spaghetti meatballs” on 2014-01-22
  • chawko estimated 100% and said “kate nikles” on 2014-01-23
  • co estimated 66% and said “co” on 2014-01-23
  • Michael Dickens said “A bunch of people making wagers on this prediction have very few wagers, so they may be sockpuppets.” on 2014-01-23
  • Michael Dickens estimated 60% and said “Actually scratch that, I just saw lettergram’s comment.This prediction could easily get 50 wagers if it keeps up the current pace, but I’m not sure how visible the reward on HabitRPG remains over time.” on 2014-01-23
  • Bestmeatballs estimated 11% and said “Best damn spaghetti meatballs” on 2014-01-23
  • Bestmeatballs said “How many times can you predict in a day?” on 2014-01-23
  • lettergram said “@bestmeatball pretty sure you are not suppose to predict on the same prediction 3 times…You can make predictions all the time on different stuff. ” on 2014-01-23
  • dangkat5 estimated 99% and said “dangkat5” on 2014-01-23
  • Tuxedage estimated 99% on 2014-01-23
  • Tuxedage estimated 99% on 2014-01-23
  • Tuxedage estimated 99% on 2014-01-23
  • Tuxedage said “Oh damn I fucked up. I don’t suppose I can remove my predictions?” on 2014-01-23
  • Jayson Virissimo said “I think a “remove prediction” feature would pretty much defeat the purpose of PredictionBook. But yeah, a “you made the same prediction less than a minute ago, are you sure you want to do that?” message would be nice.” on 2014-01-24
  • Bestmeatballs estimated 14% and said “Best damn spaghetti meatballs” on 2014-01-24
  • Bestmeatballs estimated 30% and said “Best damn spaghetti meatballs” on 2014-01-24
  • Rowan93 estimated 90% and said “Rowan93. The reward on habitrpg is larger than for most user-generated challenges and signing up just to make one prediction is easy enough that it’s very likely at least 20 more people will do it.” on 2014-01-24
  • bluebart estimated 90% and said “There’s already 36, seems like a safe wager.” on 2014-01-24
  • Bestmeatballs estimated 40% and said “Best damn spaghetti meatballs” on 2014-01-25
  • lettergram changed the deadline from “on 2014-04-01” and changed their prediction from “There are 50 wagers on this prediction by April 1st, 2014.” on 2014-01-25
  • Emerald estimated 90% and said “Emerald” on 2014-01-26
  • Mati estimated 95% and said “Reasons-large reward on HabitRPG for people who tried it out (as said by lettergram & Rowan93)-40 wagers in 9 days-one can put as many wager as s/he wants :P-but notsonewuser said “Are there even 50 active users on PredictionBook?”” on 2014-01-26
  • adbge estimated 94% on 2014-01-27
  • Bestmeatballs estimated 50% and said “Best damn spaghetti meatballs” on 2014-01-27
  • procran estimated 99% on 2014-01-27
  • Andrew MacFie estimated 95% on 2014-01-27
  • ghostcat estimated 85% and said ““jessica spotswood”” on 2014-01-28
  • loganloveslife estimated 100% and said “loganloveslife” on 2014-01-30
  • SabreFaust estimated 69% on 2014-01-30
  • HonoreDB estimated 95% on 2014-01-30
  • azax1 estimated 99% on 2014-01-31
  • Roxolan estimated 100% and said “50 get” on 2014-01-31
  • Mati   judged this prediction right on 2014-01-31.
  • Mati   judged this prediction unknown on 2014-01-31.
  • gwern said “exactly 50 or at least 50?” on 2014-01-31
  • lettergram said “50 — unique — wagers, it’s currently at 41, since quite a few people made 2 or more predictions.” on 2014-01-31
  • lettergram changed the deadline from “on 2014-04-01” on 2014-02-01
  • gwaine estimated 95% and said “gwaine” on 2014-02-01
  • treacheroustorment estimated 100% and said “definitely. treacheroustorment” on 2014-02-02
  • Triangles estimated 99% and said “flisten” on 2014-02-03
  • jkadlubo estimated 99% and said “Joanna” on 2014-02-03
  • ologan estimated 74% and said “ologan” on 2014-02-03
  • kr1zz estimated 51% and said “Looks like HabitRPG is successfully spreading” on 2014-02-05
  • kr1zz   judged this prediction right on 2014-02-05.
  • Jayson Virissimo said “I am flabbergasted that there were non-100% probabilities after 50 wagers had already been reached. Seriously, WTH?” on 2014-02-05
  • ygert said “The prediction specified unique wagers. If lettergram’s reply to gwern on 31/1/2014 was accurate, this now stands at a total of 47 unique wagers. Thus, marking as unknown.” on 2014-02-06
  • ygert   judged this prediction unknown on 2014-02-06.
  • ygert said “@Jayson Virissimo: The explanation for the phenomenon you mention is that the prediction hasn’t yet reached 50 unique wagers.” on 2014-02-06
  • platypus42 estimated 100% and said “platypus42 on HabitRPG. Btw it looks to me like mine’s the 46th wager – found this using gVim, copy-pasting all the bullets on the left there, deleting lines without “estimated”, then removing duplicate usernames (:sort u).” on 2014-02-12
  • ir88 estimated 38% and said “Sebastian Dengler” on 2014-02-13
  • billybuddy estimated 64% and said “Billy” on 2014-02-14
  • abcpiggies estimated 100% and said “Although people are going to be voting similarly (high) I think there will be still room for 4 more unique predictions by April 1st 2014” on 2014-02-16
  • Michael Dickens estimated 95% and said “There seems to be some uncertainty about what qualifies as 50 wagers, so I’m not 100% confident yet.” on 2014-02-17
  • ygert estimated 100% and said “After a careful recount, I believe this makes exactly 50. Anyone else care to double check?” on 2014-02-17
  • ygert   judged this prediction right on 2014-02-17.
  • ygert said “The following is the list of predictors, in alphabetical order: abcpiggies adbge AlexM087 amacfie atroche azax1 Ben Bestmeatballs billybuddy bluebart chawko co dangkat5 Emerald fela flyingfox ghostcat gwaine holycow81 HonoreD” on 2014-02-17
  • ygert said “ishopeatsea jkadlubo KnaveOfAllTrades kr1zz lettergram loganloveslife Mares789 Mathieu_Roy Merinnan mitodoteira MTGandP nadeshico_k ologan platypus42 procran reesarose Rowan93 Roxolan SabreFaust shadow1537 Snowshi tre” on 2014-02-17
  • ygert said “Tuxedage vanadium23 Vulture whackedspinach ygert ” on 2014-02-17
  • ygert said “Sorry, the “tre” after Snowshi (before Tuxedage) was meant to be treacheroustorment, but it and Triangles after it got cut off. So just remember to count those two in on the list, if doing a recount.” on 2014-02-17
  • xxlivelifeloudxx said “there’s more than 50 predictions” on 2014-02-21
  • xxlivelifeloudxx   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-02-21.
  • xxlivelifeloudxx   judged this prediction right on 2014-02-21.
  • Crateria said “Looks like this was successful. ” on 2014-02-24
  • ShIxtan said “I guess this is already done” on 2014-03-01
  • SiakelA said “Amanda” on 2014-03-11
  • satayana said “Habit RPG username is “Katie McCann”” on 2014-03-13
  • reesarose said “reesarose” on 2014-03-17
  • benjbacsky7 said “53.7%also popcorn and HabitRPG” on 2014-03-17
  • kindrapring said “Habit Display Name: Kindra Maureen Pring” on 2014-03-18
  • kindrapring   judged this prediction unknown on 2014-03-18.
  • Iksorod   judged this prediction right on 2014-03-19.
  • yeltsin said “I just created a prediction, but my user (in Habit) has the same username from here. I’m not good at prediction btw haha” on 2014-03-21
  • Xainar   judged this prediction unknown on 2014-03-23.
  • Xainar   judged this prediction right on 2014-03-23.
  • superstargoddess said “77%” on 2014-03-24
  • rickyrich98 said “Username is rickyrich98” on 2014-04-02
  • rickyrich98   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-04-02.
  • rickyrich98   judged this prediction right on 2014-04-02.