“By Dec 31, 2013 the total volume of payments denominated in Facebook Credits (or any replacement introduced by Facebook) will meet or exceed $16 billion in a three month period.” —Shamir Karkal
- gwern estimated 10% on 2011-03-12
- gwern said “I don’t see $64 billion annually being exchanged on FB, certainly not in roughly two years.” on 2011-03-12
- gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/607” on 2011-03-12
- bobpage said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Facebook_Credits” on 2013-11-16
- bobpage said “‘While the Facebook Credits website is still active, Facebook has announced that it is doing away with Facebook Credits in favor of local currency.’” on 2013-11-16
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-31.
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