Mad Max 4 will be released by Christmas 2014

Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-14; known on 2014-12-25; judged wrong by kuudes on 2014-12-25.

• Ben Doherty estimated 65% on 2011-03-14
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 55% on 2011-03-16
• gwern estimated 20% and said “looking at WP, colossal number of failures and fallthroughs.” on 2011-03-18
• kuudes estimated 0% and said ““On 20 November 2013, it was announced that the film would be released on 15 May 2015.”” on 2014-12-08
• kuudes   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-12-25.