Contingent on losing her appeal, Amanda Knox will be extradited to Italy to serve her sentence.

Created by adbge on 2014-01-31; known on 2018-01-31; judged unknown by lettergram on 2018-12-18.

  • adbge estimated 50% on 2014-01-31
  • adbge changed the deadline from “on 2018-01-31” and changed their prediction from “Contingent on losing her appeal, Amanda Knox will be extradited to Italy to server her sentence.” on 2014-01-31
  • gwern estimated 15% on 2014-01-31
  • lettergram estimated 50% on 2014-02-03
  • Andrew MacFie said “make joint predictions, not conditionalson 2016-01-02
  • lettergram   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-12-18.
  • lettergram   judged this prediction unknown on 2018-12-18.
  • lettergram   judged this prediction unknown on 2018-12-18.

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