Australia will no longer be part of the Commonwealth by 2020

Created by DavidPercival on 2011-03-17; known on 2020-01-16; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2020-01-17.

• DavidPercival estimated 75% on 2011-03-17
• gwern estimated 5% and said “why would one think this?” on 2011-03-18
• themusicgod1 estimated 5% on 2016-10-07
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-07
• themusicgod1 estimated 26% and said “hrm hit this one already” on 2016-10-07
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2019-01-07
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2019-01-08
• Pablo estimated 0% on 2020-01-02
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-17.