Volcano will accur on Baekdu Mountain within 2mounths.

Created by Eunseo on 2011-03-18; known on 2011-05-18; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-05-22.

• Eunseo estimated 3% on 2011-03-18
• gwern estimated 100% on 2011-03-18
• gwern estimated 0% on 2011-03-18
• gwern said “http://www.arirang.co.kr/News/News_View.asp?nseq=116181 says only possibility, no mention of actual volcanism. marking wrong.” on 2011-05-22
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-05-22.