There will be a pandemic within the next 5 years.

Created by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-03-21; known on 2016-03-21; judged wrong by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-22.

• Mel Eclarinal estimated 60% on 2011-03-21
• Ben Doherty estimated 65% and said “http://bit.ly/iinw1A – if it is anywhere in the world, then maybe a little higher?” on 2011-03-21
• gwern estimated 15% and said “flu was first since 1968, so estimates are probably high: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandemic#Current_pandemics” on 2011-03-23
• sole21000 estimated 23% on 2016-03-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 0% on 2016-03-16
• themusicgod1 said “it’s not going to happen in the next 4 days, even zika can’t grow that fast.” on 2016-03-16
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Zika has not become pandemic. Unlikely.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandemic#Current_pandemics” on 2016-03-20
• artir estimated 0% on 2016-03-20
• Raahul_Kumar said “There is no current flu pandemic. Couldn’t find any other, can anyone else find one?http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/healthtopics/pandemic_preparedness/basic_facts/Pages/historical_pandemics.aspx” on 2016-03-22
• Raahul_Kumar   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-22.