Muammar al-Gaddafi will no longer be the leader of Libya by 31 March 2011

Created by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-22; known on 2011-03-31; judged wrong by Ben Doherty on 2011-03-31.

• Ben Doherty estimated 30% on 2011-03-22
• Nic_Smith estimated 10% on 2011-03-23
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 25% on 2011-03-23
• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-03-23
• Ben Doherty   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-03-31.