The 2012 Apocalypse will end up being a hoax.

Created by seansman15@hotmail.com on 2011-03-23; known on 2012-12-23; judged right by ygert on 2012-12-25.

• seansman15@hotmail.com estimated 99% on 2011-03-23
• Ben Doherty estimated 99% and said “Is this different to http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2368 ?” on 2011-03-23
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 99% on 2011-04-04
• Isaac estimated 10% on 2011-10-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 99% and said “issac, If you think that an apocalypse in 2012 is that likely do you want to make a bet over it? ” on 2011-10-01
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 99% on 2012-01-03
• Jayson Virissimo said “A “hoax” is a deliberate fabrication, not just a false statement. I’m not going to make a wager unless someone provides a test for whether it was a deliberate fabrication or not.” on 2012-01-03
• faws said “What does this prediction mean in concrete terms? What would qualify the apocalypse predictions as a hoax, as opposed to being merely wrong, and how will we know? ” on 2012-01-03
• JoshuaZ said “Ah, I didn’t interpret it that way when I wagered, but I can see how it could be interpreted that way. Is seansman still around? Maybe they can clarify what they intended? ” on 2012-01-03
• army1987 said “Too vague.” on 2012-12-21
• ygert   judged this prediction right on 2012-12-25.