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Created by gwern on 2014-04-07; known on 2015-10-25

  • gwern estimated 3% on 2014-04-07
  • gwern on 2014-04-07
  • Neznans said “mmm” on 2014-04-29
  • rebellionkid estimated 5% on 2014-06-10
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2014-06-10” on 2014-06-11
  • gwern said “was too busy with other things to set this in motion” on 2014-06-11
  • rebellionkid said “Any news?” on 2014-08-17
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2014-08-11” on 2014-10-25
  • David estimated 4% on 2015-10-25
  • gwern said “Canceled. Something I was relying on not happening, happened anyway.” on 2016-01-05