Justin Bieber will go to rehab sometime within the next 10 years

Created by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-03-31; known on 2021-03-31; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2021-03-31.

• Mel Eclarinal estimated 90% on 2011-03-31
• gwern estimated 25% on 2011-04-09
• Tiresias estimated 90% on 2011-12-20
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% and said “must…not…neglect…base rate” on 2011-12-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2011-12-20
• themusicgod1 estimated 56% on 2016-07-09
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-03-31.