Nuclear problems in Japan will be solved at the end of April
- minhduc estimated 70% on 2011-04-01
- etrecheesecake judged this prediction wrong on 2011-04-07.
- kallman judged this prediction unknown on 2011-04-10.
- kallman estimated 10% and said “Please don’t judge a prediction before its time expires unless the outcome is totally clear.” on 2011-04-10
- Ben Doherty estimated 20% on 2011-04-11
- gwern said “how would one judge this anyway? it seems to be under control and not worsening, but is that ‘solved’?” on 2011-05-10
- gwern said “They’re still pumping and reports are coming out that the initial reports were all lies and there was meltdown and meltthrough. marking wrong, not solved” on 2011-06-19
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-19.
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