Allied forces will need at least 2 more months to overthow Gadhafi's government!
- minhduc estimated 80% on 2011-04-02
- gwern estimated 60% on 2011-04-03
- kallman estimated 80% and said “Known at the end of may, or mid-june sometime? Also, is wording to omit chance of failure intentional?” on 2011-04-10
- gwern said “reading gadhafi will not be overthrown within 2 months by allied forces, which is correct” on 2011-06-03
- gwern judged this prediction right on 2011-06-03.
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