Allied forces will need at least 2 more months to overthow Gadhafi's government!

Created by minhduc on 2011-04-02; known on 2011-06-02; judged right by gwern on 2011-06-03.

• minhduc estimated 80% on 2011-04-02
• gwern estimated 60% on 2011-04-03
• kallman estimated 80% and said “Known at the end of may, or mid-june sometime? Also, is wording to omit chance of failure intentional?” on 2011-04-10
• gwern said “reading gadhafi will not be overthrown within 2 months by allied forces, which is correct” on 2011-06-03
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-06-03.