MercMob not in operation or has less than 100 open mobs 5 years from now.

Created by Nic_Smith on 2011-04-08; known on 2016-04-08; judged right by Nic_Smith on 2016-04-08.

  • Nic_Smith estimated 75% on 2011-04-08
  • gwern estimated 85% and said “quickly looking, i see nothing on how they deal with stag hunt/free rider problem.on 2011-04-09
  • Nic_Smith   judged this prediction right on 2016-04-08.
  • Nic_Smith said “ gives a lawnchrock email collections page and (URL from old previous site that’s still accessible) says “Browse All Mobs […] There are no tasks posted.”on 2016-04-08

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