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Tanjong Pagar will win in the coming SG election for the 11th time.

Created by alvinTng on 2011-04-28; known on 2011-05-08; judged right by gwern on 2011-05-08.

  • alvinTng estimated 100% on 2011-04-28
  • gwern said “Singapore’s ruling party was re-elected, so marking correct. incidentally, 100% is too high for a party with only 10% electoral advantage…on 2011-05-08
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-05-08.