Evangelion manga: Shinji and/or Asuka will defeat the MP Evas
Created by gwern on 2011-05-02; known on 2012-04-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-05.
- gwern estimated 50% on 2011-05-02
- gwern said “See http://forum.evageeks.org/viewtopic.php?p=455233#455233” on 2011-05-02
- gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01” on 2012-01-01
- gwern said “MPEs survive and execute 3I so I think it’s safe to mark this one wrong” on 2012-04-05
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-05.