Evangelion manga: Shinji and/or Asuka will defeat the MP Evas

Created by gwern on 2011-05-02; known on 2012-04-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-04-05.

• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-05-02
• gwern said “See http://forum.evageeks.org/viewtopic.php?p=455233#455233” on 2011-05-02
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01” on 2012-01-01
• gwern said “MPEs survive and execute 3I so I think it’s safe to mark this one wrong” on 2012-04-05
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-04-05.