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Evangelion manga: there will be no Third Impact

Created by gwern on 2011-05-03; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 15% on 2011-05-03
  • gwern said “http://forum.evageeks.org/viewtopic.php?p=456010#456010 might just end things with the MPE battle and handle the rest w/o giant robots & mindfucks” on 2011-05-03
  • gwern said “there was a 3I, as stupid as Sadamoto’s setup and non-existent as the justification is in-universe…” on 2013-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.