“…in the Pacific Rim at around the 6 p.m. local time hour, in each time zone, there will be a great earthquake, such as has never been in the history of the Earth.” —Haubert/Brown

Created by gwern on 2011-05-08; known on 2011-05-22; judged wrong by Nic_Smith on 2011-05-22.

• gwern estimated 0% on 2011-05-08
• gwern said “w/Rapture to boot! http://rationallyspeaking.blogspot.com/2011/05/barbara-bradley-hagerty-does-it-again.html” on 2011-05-08
• gwern said “followup prediction about end of world: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2652” on 2011-05-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% and said “If this does happen this website will likely not be around to function for us to note it. ” on 2011-05-08
• Nic_Smith estimated 0% and said “Won’t happen.” on 2011-05-08
• Nic_Smith said “6 PM has come and gone in all of the US time zones, and by a good margin for Central and Eastern. USGS shows nothing unusual; matches my own experience.” on 2011-05-22
• Nic_Smith   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-05-22.