There will be another natural disaster somewhere in the world before the end of June.

Created by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-05-12; known on 2011-06-30; judged right by Mel Eclarinal on 2011-08-04.

• Mel Eclarinal estimated 70% on 2011-05-12
• DavidPercival estimated 25% on 2011-05-13
• gwern said “As usual, how would one judge this? The Mississippi is stacking up interestingly already…” on 2011-05-16
• Ben Doherty said “does this: http://yhoo.it/nzyHLS count as a natural disaster?” on 2011-07-26
• Ben Doherty said “http://1.usa.gov/opOY4F or any of these?” on 2011-07-26
• Mel Eclarinal   judged this prediction right on 2011-08-04.