There will be another natural disaster somewhere in the world before the end of June.
- Mel Eclarinal estimated 70% on 2011-05-12
- DavidPercival estimated 25% on 2011-05-13
- gwern said “As usual, how would one judge this? The Mississippi is stacking up interestingly already…” on 2011-05-16
- Ben Doherty said “does this: http://yhoo.it/nzyHLS count as a natural disaster?” on 2011-07-26
- Ben Doherty said “http://1.usa.gov/opOY4F or any of these?” on 2011-07-26
- Mel Eclarinal judged this prediction right on 2011-08-04.
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