'. The Dead Sea Scrolls managed to survive by remaining lost for a couple millennia. Now that they've been located and preserved in a museum, they're probably doomed. I give them two centuries – tops.' —Danny Hillis

Created by gwern on 2011-05-22; known on 2195-02-16

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2011-05-22
  • gwern said “clarification: this is a 30% prediction Hillis is right about their destruction = 70% they will still exist in 200 yearson 2011-05-22
  • gwern said “source long now essay; date extracted from http://longnow.org/essays/millennium-clock/on 2011-05-22
  • JoshuaZ estimated 40% on 2011-05-24
  • Anubhav estimated 20% on 2011-10-10

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