'The International Space Station is decommissioned' by 2029

Created by gwern on 2011-05-26; known on 2029-01-01

  • gwern estimated 60% on 2011-05-26
  • gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2020-2029.htm#iss-deorbiton 2011-05-26
  • gwern said “ISS is very expensive. tempting to keep using and adding to it.on 2011-05-26
  • JoshuaZ estimated 65% and said “Adding on to the station is difficult. Core parts can’t be easily replaced and by 2028 will be running up against issues with their engineered lifetimes. No signs of new funding now, but a lot of longterm potential. on 2011-10-28
  • themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-08
  • pranomostro estimated 70% on 2019-01-07
  • Baeboo estimated 30% on 2019-01-08

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