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The discovery of at least one new Mersenne prime will be announced in 2011 or 2012.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-05-28; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2013-01-01.

  • JoshuaZ estimated 80% on 2011-05-28
  • gwern estimated 75% on 2011-06-01
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.