nevada will be the first state to legalise google driverless car –

Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-06-30; judged right by gwern on 2011-06-23.

  • Jessica Hartany estimated 30% on 2011-05-29
  • Sandra Åhlén estimated 20% on 2011-05-29
  • JoshuaZ estimated 20% and said “I’d estimate a much higher chance if the deadline for this prediction wasn’t so sort. Legalization in the next month seems more unlikely. on 2011-05-29
  • gwern said “marking right: 2011-06-23
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-06-23.

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