nevada will be the first state to legalise google driverless car – http://www.caradvice.com.au/118506/google-driverless-car-almost-legal-in-nevada/

Created by Jessica Hartany on 2011-05-29; known on 2011-06-30; judged right by gwern on 2011-06-23.

• Jessica Hartany estimated 30% on 2011-05-29
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 20% on 2011-05-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 20% and said “I’d estimate a much higher chance if the deadline for this prediction wasn’t so sort. Legalization in the next month seems more unlikely. ” on 2011-05-29
• gwern said “marking right: http://cyberlaw.stanford.edu/node/6688” on 2011-06-23
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-06-23.