Barack Obama will win reelection.

Created by TheHumanite on 2011-06-06; known on 2012-11-05; judged right by HonoreDB on 2012-11-07.

• TheHumanite estimated 95% on 2011-06-06
• gwern said “Serious dupe! http://www.google.com/search?q=obama%20site%3Apredictionbook.com” on 2011-06-07
• faul_sname estimated 40% and said “The GOP will probably get it’s act together before elections.” on 2011-07-01
• Konkvistador estimated 70% on 2011-07-21
• Athrelon estimated 80% on 2012-09-27
• Pablo estimated 78% and said “Intrade: 78.3%” on 2012-09-29
• onthestairs estimated 80% on 2012-10-02
• jdeva estimated 90% on 2012-10-14
• TheHumanite changed the deadline from “on 2012-11-03” on 2012-11-04
• HonoreDB   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.