'The final collapse of the European Union'
- gwern estimated 30% on 2011-06-07
- gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2030-2039.htm#european-union-collapse” on 2011-06-07
- gwern said “too specific. such things never really die.” on 2011-06-07
- JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2011-06-07
- Saliency said “I predict that the EU will be around longer then predictionbook..” on 2011-06-13
- Saliency said “For a prediction to be useful it needs to have a sane exercise date. IMHO anything beyond 5 years is silly in this context.” on 2011-06-13
- TheScholar estimated 70% and said “I don’t believe the EU can (in the long run) counteract the growing intolerance and nationalism in most conservative parties.” on 2011-06-16
- niekjetten judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-18.
- niekjetten said “Theresia is no Europeanen Union so it ca. not. Collapse” on 2011-06-18
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction unknown on 2011-06-18.
- JoshuaZ said “Niek, what are you talking about? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union among others would seem to disagree. ” on 2011-06-18
- najdorf estimated 80% on 2013-02-06
- Tuxedage estimated 30% on 2013-02-07
- themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-08
- JoshuaZ estimated 31% on 2016-10-08
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