'Amazon builds its first bricks-and-mortar superstore.'

Created by gwern on 2011-06-22; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2020-07-14.

• gwern estimated 10% on 2011-06-22
• gwern said “http://www.kk.org/thetechnium/archives/2011/06/2019_unthinkabl.php not sure about *super*store, but a physical retail presence? why not?” on 2011-06-22
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2011-07-21
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2011-08-21
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2011-10-10
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-08
• gwern said “it’s built a number of small experiments like the 4-star boutique or a book store or the ‘Amazon Go’ convenience stores, but nothing remotely like a ‘superstore’. Anyone want to object to marking this wrong?” on 2019-01-02
• two2thehead said “Nay for super store being built. I vote for making this wrong” on 2019-01-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% and said “The vote is in” on 2020-07-14
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-07-14.