P=NP, and proven by 12 December 2012 —Dick Lipton

Created by gwern on 2011-06-27; known on 2012-12-12; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-12-12.

• gwern estimated 2% on 2011-06-27
• gwern said “https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/2011/06/24/polls-and-predictions-and-pnp/” on 2011-06-27
• gwern changed their prediction from “P=NP? solved by 12 December 2012 —Dick Barrington” on 2011-06-27
• gwern estimated 1% on 2011-06-27
• gwern changed their prediction from “P=NP, and proven by 12 December 2012 —Dick Barrington” on 2011-06-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2011-06-27
• gwern changed their prediction from “P=NP, and proven by 12 December 2012 —Dick Cleve” on 2011-06-27
• JoshuaZ said “I think this is just Dick being silly. ” on 2011-06-28
• gimpf estimated 2% on 2011-07-14
• TheScholar estimated 0% and said “Personally I’m convinced that P≠NP is true? But proving this will be very difficult and may take centuries.” on 2011-07-20
• JoshuaZ said “tags:math, computer science” on 2011-09-04
• Anubhav estimated 0% on 2011-10-12
• RandomThinker estimated 1% on 2012-05-05
• Qiaochu estimated 0% on 2012-10-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2012-10-14
• Sarokrae estimated 0% on 2012-11-05
• kilobug estimated 2% on 2012-11-09
• ChristianKl estimated 0% on 2012-12-03
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-12-12.