'A Computer Scientist will win a Nobel Prize.' —Lipton

Created by gwern on 2011-06-27; known on 2012-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2012-01-01.

• gwern estimated 15% on 2011-06-27
• gwern said “https://rjlipton.wordpress.com/2011/01/02/predictions-past-and-future/” on 2011-06-27
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 25% on 2011-06-28
• Sandra Åhlén said “http://www.networkworld.com/news/2011/060611-nobel-prize-computing.html” on 2011-06-28
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-01-01.