Cormac McCarthy for 2011 Literature Nobel

Created by gwern on 2011-07-02; known on 2011-10-10; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-10-07.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-07-02
• gwern said “http://www.nicerodds.co.uk/nobel-prize-in-literatureMcCarthy is overdue” on 2011-07-02
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 15% on 2011-07-03
• Laurent Bossavit said “tags: literature” on 2011-09-04
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-07.