Philip Roth for 2011 Literature Nobel

Created by gwern on 2011-07-02; known on 2011-10-10; judged wrong by ka on 2011-10-06.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2011-07-02
• gwern said “http://www.nicerodds.co.uk/nobel-prize-in-literature” on 2011-07-02
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 8% on 2011-07-03
• Laurent Bossavit said “tags: literature” on 2011-09-04
• ka estimated 8% on 2011-10-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 21% on 2011-10-03
• ka   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-06.