The majority of people will not worship man-made Gods by the year 2030.
- dragonfly estimated 50% on 2011-07-04
- dragonfly judged this prediction right on 2011-07-04.
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction unknown on 2011-07-04.
- JoshuaZ said “There’s no way you could know now. Do you understand the website? The % is your estimate for how sure you are. Post deadline it is judged right or wrong.” on 2011-07-04
- gwern said “What is a man-made god anyway?” on 2011-07-04
- themusicgod1 estimated 3% on 2016-10-08
- Bruno Parga said “I say this is wrong, if one assumes (per Occam) that all gods are man-made and given that the majority of people are religious.” on 2020-01-01
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-03.
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