The majority of people will not worship man-made Gods by the year 2030.

Created by dragonfly on 2011-07-04; known on 2020-01-01; judged unknown by JoshuaZ on 2011-07-04.

  • dragonfly estimated 50% on 2011-07-04
  • dragonfly   judged this prediction right on 2011-07-04.
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-07-04.
  • JoshuaZ said “There’s no way you could know now. Do you understand the website? The % is your estimate for how sure you are. Post deadline it is judged right or wrong.on 2011-07-04
  • gwern said “What is a man-made god anyway?on 2011-07-04
  • themusicgod1 estimated 3% on 2016-10-08
  • Bruno Parga said “I say this is wrong, if one assumes (per Occam) that all gods are man-made and given that the majority of people are religious.on 2020-01-01
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-03.

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