The US dept ceiling will be raised by August 2

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-07-15; known on 2011-08-02; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2011-08-02.

• Sandra Åhlén estimated 80% on 2011-07-15
• PseudonymousUser estimated 80% on 2011-07-15
• gwern estimated 75% and said “intrade at 75, don’t feel I know any better: http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=749123” on 2011-07-17
• Konkvistador estimated 75% on 2011-07-22
• PseudonymousUser estimated 40% on 2011-07-30
• PseudonymousUser estimated 55% on 2011-07-30
• Sandra Åhlén   judged this prediction right on 2011-08-02.
• Sandra Åhlén   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-08-02.
• PseudonymousUser said “Obama signed a bill raising the ceiling today” on 2011-08-02
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2011-08-02.