Spot gold price will touch at least $2000 by December 31, 2012.

Created by dakyne on 2011-07-16; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by dakyne on 2013-01-01.

• dakyne estimated 90% on 2011-07-16
• gwern estimated 80% on 2011-07-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 75% on 2011-07-18
• Konkvistador estimated 75% on 2011-07-22
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 90% on 2011-09-06
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 60% on 2011-10-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 38% on 2011-11-07
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 5% on 2011-12-14
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 55% on 2011-12-14
• Milamber estimated 60% on 2012-05-08
• RandomThinker estimated 30% on 2012-05-08
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 20% on 2012-08-12
• torekp estimated 35% and said “I’d say lower, but for the Euro zone.” on 2012-08-12
• Laurent Bossavit estimated 25% on 2012-09-19
• dakyne   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.