“within 5 years of leaving office, the Obamas will have a net worth of more than $50 million.” —Dennis Mangan
Created by gwern on 2011-07-21; known on 2022-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2022-01-05.
- gwern estimated 80% on 2011-07-21
- gwern on 2011-07-21
- gwern said “http://mangans.blogspot.com/2011/07/revolving-door.html date is obviously a guess” on 2011-07-21
- gwern said “seems like an easy thing for the Obamas to do; the clintons managed to gain even more over the 2000s, and they left under a major cloud and spending on senator” on 2011-07-21
- Konkvistador estimated 90% on 2011-07-21
- JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2011-07-22
- roxton estimated 70% on 2011-09-19
- Athrelon estimated 60% on 2012-09-27
- RandomThinker estimated 40% and said “Clinton earned 100 million in 10 yrs. Even though there’s inflation, it’s not that easy to out-hustle Bill. ” on 2012-09-28
- NathanMcKnight estimated 60% on 2012-09-28
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 65% on 2012-09-29
- themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-09
- pranomostro estimated 60% on 2019-01-07
- amadeu estimated 70% on 2019-04-07
- Bruno Parga said “Suggest extending this to 2022-01-20.” on 2021-01-01
- JoshuaZ said “Echo suggestions for extension. Hard to get this data right now. ” on 2021-01-01
- gwern said “He did start releasing his memoirs which ought to be worth millions on millions, but I haven’t seen any reliable estimates, so I’ll extend this.” on 2021-01-02
- meedstrom estimated 75% on 2021-02-09
- amadeu said “This is probably true?https://www.celebritynetworth.com/richest-politicians/presidents/barack-obama-net-worth/” on 2021-12-06
- amadeu said “https://www.businessinsider.com/barack-obama-michelle-obama-net-worth-2018-7#and-obamas-memoir-a-promised-land-was-published-more-recently-in-november-2020-it-sold-nearly-890000-copies-in-the-us-and-canada-within-24-of-its-release-8” on 2021-12-06
- Bruno Parga said “Combined $136Mhttps://www.ibtimes.com/barack-obama-net-worth-ex-us-president-earned-156-million-writing-2-books-2961375” on 2022-01-05
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction right on 2022-01-05.