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Apple will lose all its *NIX developer goodwill and become the equivalent of Microsoft — hated but a necessary evil.

Created by kyst on 2011-07-28; known on 2021-07-28; judged wrong by stepan on 2021-08-07.

  • kyst estimated 80% on 2011-07-28
  • scav estimated 50% and said “In 10 years? Microsoft are still evil but hardly necessary even now. How to measure it? Could go either way. Likely if Apple hire a “Ballmer” after Jobs departs.” on 2011-07-28
  • gwern said “I don’t see how one would judge this. Also, I (a nix user & developer) already hate them as a necessary evil, so…” on 2011-07-28
  • kyst said “I hate them too. I want more people to. How about “At OSCON, less than 10% of laptops are Apple hardware?”” on 2011-07-29
  • themusicgod1 said “They did stand up to the FBI. How do they lose that goodwill by ’21? ” on 2016-10-09
  • stepan estimated 61% on 2021-07-10
  • stepan   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-08-07.