MyBitcoin will go back up before 2011-09-04 UTC and allow > 90% of users to withdraw their full balances
- bobpage estimated 6% on 2011-08-04
- gwern estimated 3% on 2011-08-04
- gwern said “I don’t think there’s any reasonable likelihood they are going to change their 50% policy, which means this is false – people are not getting their full balances. marking wrong.” on 2011-08-14
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-08-14.
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