Roger Ver will not create a Longbets about his Bitcoin>gold/silver prediction within a month.
Created by gwern on 2011-08-08; known on 2011-09-08; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-08-21.
- gwern estimated 75% on 2011-08-08
- gwern said “See: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2972 http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/jc3k4/forbes_columnist_predicts_this_latest_bitcoin/c2ayviq” on 2011-08-08
- JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2011-08-09
- fergus estimated 50% on 2011-08-18
- gwern said “oh well: http://longbets.org/611/” on 2011-08-21
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2011-08-21.