India GDP less than either China or USA in 2050 —HSBC

Created by gwern on 2011-08-13; known on 2050-01-01; judged unknown by Baeboo on 2020-12-01.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2011-08-13
• gwern said “source: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/8239707/HSBC-sees-China-and-America-leading-global-mega-boom.html” on 2011-08-13
• seifip estimated 60% on 2013-04-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 63% on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 75% on 2018-11-25
• ChineseToTheBone estimated 100% and said “SUPERPOWER 2020” on 2018-11-28
• pranomostro estimated 80% on 2019-01-03
• Baeboo estimated 85% on 2019-01-04
• Baeboo estimated 83% on 2019-01-04
• deleteyourbrain estimated 70% on 2019-05-01
• Vaibhav_Srivastva   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-12-01.
• Vaibhav_Srivastva said “Bullcrap.” on 2020-12-01
• Baeboo   judged this prediction unknown on 2020-12-01.
• platypus42 said “Does this count as true if either China or USA have higher GDP than India (in 2050), or is it intended to mean they’ll both have GDPs higher than India’s by that year? ” on 2020-12-01
• platypus42 said “Better phrasing of my previous comment: does this count as true if only one of China or USA have higher GDP than India, but not both of them? ” on 2020-12-01