“Steve Jobs to depart as CEO of Apple before midnight ET 31 Dec 2011” —Intrade

Created by gwern on 2011-08-14; known on 2011-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2011-08-24.

• gwern estimated 9% on 2011-08-14
• gwern said “http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=745703 10%” on 2011-08-14
• gwern said “has resigned: http://techcrunch.com/2011/08/24/steve-jobs-resigns-from-apple/” on 2011-08-24
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-08-24.