HPMOR will update again by October 20th

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-08-17; known on 2011-10-21; judged right by gwern on 2011-08-25.

• JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2011-08-17
• Jach estimated 67% on 2011-08-18
• fergus estimated 10% on 2011-08-18
• gwern estimated 70% and said “last updated mid-june. looks good to not be updated for another month or so” on 2011-08-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 75% and said “Updating estimate based on http://lesswrong.com/r/discussion/lw/77u/req_latin_translation_for_hpmor/” on 2011-08-22
• drethelin estimated 70% on 2011-08-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2011-08-23
• gwern said “updated: http://www.fanfiction.net/s/5782108/73/” on 2011-08-25
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2011-08-25.