The kidnappings in Sanderson’s “The Alloy of Law” will turn out to be in order to construct a captive breeding program to make Mistborn

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-08-18; known on 2011-12-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-13.

• JoshuaZ estimated 10% on 2011-08-18
• gwern estimated 10% on 2011-08-19
• JoshuaZ said “End of the book, this is the most likely hypothesis, but has not been confirmed. Marking “wrong” since it means that it didn’t turn out in the book to have a definite answer. ” on 2011-11-08
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-13.